Monday, April 20, 2009

Head Fake or Reversal

Hello Traders,

We peaked above 8000 with a small level of resistance above that at 8300.

Today's downmove wasn't a surprise, but does it mean the beginning of the next downward leg in our 2 year downtrend? Or is there enough strenght to stay within earshot of 8100 and can we make a surge higher?

We have lots of earnings and some economic data, mostly later in the week. Will it be whippy and sideways in a range between 7500 and 8100 - that seems pretty likely until we get significant news to send us to new highs or careening towards 6500.

Whatever the case, a 23% move in a downtrend was a great place to be neutral to bearish.
Bear calls, covered calls, and puts are in favor.

Happy Trading
Trader B

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